AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Iraqi League Jul 04, 2023

Duhok

Home
VS
16:00

Al Kahrabaa

Away
AI Predictions 49.2% Confidence
Duhok Win
21.0%
Draw
29.8%
Al Kahrabaa Win
49.2%
Away Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 76%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 2.07 - 0.96
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 1.0 Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Duhok Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Al Kahrabaa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (10%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-1 (10%) 3-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
Duhok Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 24 Duhok vs Al-Qasim … 0-0
Jun 03 Duhok vs Al Najaf 2-4
May 24 Duhok vs Zakho 1-1
Apr 30 Duhok vs Al Quwa A… 0-0
Apr 19 Duhok vs Erbil 1-0
Mar 01 Duhok vs Al Zawra'a 1-1
Feb 18 Duhok vs Naft Mays… 3-1
Feb 10 Duhok vs Al Kahrab… 3-0
Jan 31 Duhok vs Al-Qasim … 2-1
Jan 26 Duhok vs Al Najaf 0-1
Al Kahrabaa Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 10 Al Kahrab… vs Duhok 3-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 10, 2023 Al Kahrabaa 3 - 0 Duhok Iraqi League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Duhok to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 89
Duhok Power 0
Al Kahrabaa Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Duhok Position

+8

Position Gap

18

Al Kahrabaa Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.