AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Iraqi League Mar 05, 2024

Baghdad

Home
VS
11:30

Al Minaa Basra

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Baghdad Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Al Minaa Basra Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 55%
Market 50%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.90 - 0.93
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Baghdad Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
41%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Al Minaa Basra Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (16%) 0-1 (15%) 1-0 (14%) 1-1 (13%) 0-2 (7%) 2-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 36%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Under 2.5 Goals 72%
Baghdad Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 29 Baghdad vs Erbil 4-1
Feb 16 Baghdad vs Zakho 1-0
Dec 05 Baghdad vs Al Shorta… 1-2
Nov 03 Baghdad vs Al Karkh 1-1
Jun 07 Baghdad vs Al Shorta… 2-0
May 28 Baghdad vs Al Minaa … 0-1
May 20 Baghdad vs Al Karkh 2-1
May 09 Baghdad vs Al Quwa A… 0-0
Feb 25 Baghdad vs Zakho 1-1
Feb 15 Baghdad vs Erbil 1-1
Al Minaa Basra Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 29 Al Minaa … vs Duhok 2-0
Feb 24 Al Minaa … vs Naft 1-1
Feb 21 Al Minaa … vs Zakho 0-2
Dec 09 Al Minaa … vs Al-Talaba 0-1
Nov 03 Al Minaa … vs Al Shorta… 0-3
Oct 31 Al Minaa … vs Al Karkh 4-1
Jun 22 Al Minaa … vs Al-Talaba 1-1
Jun 02 Al Minaa … vs Al Shorta… 1-1
May 28 Al Minaa … vs Baghdad 0-1
May 19 Al Minaa … vs Al Zawra'a 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Baghdad struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 28, 2022 Baghdad 0 - 1 Al Minaa Basra Iraqi League
Dec 21, 2021 Al Minaa Basra 1 - 1 Baghdad Iraqi League
May 11, 2021 Baghdad 0 - 1 Al Minaa Basra Iraqi League
Dec 29, 2020 Al Minaa Basra 0 - 1 Baghdad Iraqi League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Baghdad Power 0
Al Minaa Basra Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Baghdad Position

+2

Position Gap

15

Al Minaa Basra Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.