AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Iraqi League May 28, 2022

Baghdad

Home
VS
13:00

Al Minaa Basra

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Baghdad Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Al Minaa Basra Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 65%
Standings 55%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.01 - 0.62
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Baghdad Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Al Minaa Basra Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
54%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (20%) 0-0 (20%) 1-1 (12%) 0-1 (12%) 2-0 (10%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 29%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Under 2.5 Goals 78%
Baghdad Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
May 20 Baghdad vs Al Karkh 2-1
May 09 Baghdad vs Al Quwa A… 0-0
Feb 25 Baghdad vs Zakho 1-1
Feb 15 Baghdad vs Erbil 1-1
Dec 31 Baghdad vs Al Shorta… 1-3
Dec 21 Baghdad vs Al Minaa … 1-1
Dec 16 Baghdad vs Al Karkh 0-0
Oct 31 Baghdad vs Al Quwa A… 2-1
Oct 16 Baghdad vs Zakho 2-1
Sep 26 Baghdad vs Erbil 1-2
Al Minaa Basra Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
May 19 Al Minaa … vs Al Zawra'a 1-1
May 11 Al Minaa … vs Al Karkh 0-0
Feb 24 Al Minaa … vs Naft 4-1
Feb 19 Al Minaa … vs Zakho 0-0
Jan 12 Al Minaa … vs Al-Talaba 0-0
Dec 26 Al Minaa … vs Al Shorta… 3-1
Dec 21 Al Minaa … vs Baghdad 1-1
Dec 17 Al Minaa … vs Al Zawra'a 1-1
Dec 11 Al Minaa … vs Al Karkh 1-1
Oct 16 Al Minaa … vs Naft 0-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 21, 2021 Al Minaa Basra 1 - 1 Baghdad Iraqi League
May 11, 2021 Baghdad 0 - 1 Al Minaa Basra Iraqi League
Dec 29, 2020 Al Minaa Basra 0 - 1 Baghdad Iraqi League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Baghdad Power 0
Al Minaa Basra Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Baghdad Position

+2

Position Gap

15

Al Minaa Basra Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.