AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Iraqi League May 11, 2021

Baghdad

Home
VS
13:00

Al Minaa Basra

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Baghdad Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Al Minaa Basra Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 55%
Market 50%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.01 - 0.93
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Baghdad Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Al Minaa Basra Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 0-0 (14%) 1-1 (13%) 0-1 (13%) 2-0 (7%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Under 2.5 Goals 69%
Baghdad Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 15 Baghdad vs Al Quwa A… 0-1
Mar 01 Baghdad vs Al Shorta… 1-1
Feb 24 Baghdad vs Erbil 2-2
Feb 14 Baghdad vs Al Karkh 1-0
Jan 02 Baghdad vs Zakho 0-0
Dec 29 Baghdad vs Al Minaa … 0-1
Nov 28 Baghdad vs Al Quwa A… 0-1
Oct 30 Baghdad vs Al Shorta… 2-0
Oct 26 Baghdad vs Erbil 0-2
Al Minaa Basra Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 18 Al Minaa … vs Al Zawra'a 1-1
Apr 09 Al Minaa … vs Al Karkh 2-1
Jan 31 Al Minaa … vs Al-Talaba 1-0
Jan 16 Al Minaa … vs Naft 0-1
Jan 07 Al Minaa … vs Zakho 2-1
Jan 02 Al Minaa … vs Al Shorta… 4-2
Dec 29 Al Minaa … vs Baghdad 0-1
Dec 18 Al Minaa … vs Al Zawra'a 0-0
Dec 12 Al Minaa … vs Al Karkh 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Al Minaa Basra struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 29, 2020 Al Minaa Basra 0 - 1 Baghdad Iraqi League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Baghdad Power 0
Al Minaa Basra Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Baghdad Position

+2

Position Gap

15

Al Minaa Basra Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.