AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Iraqi League Dec 29, 2020

Al Minaa Basra

Home
VS
11:00

Baghdad

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Al Minaa Basra Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Baghdad Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 52%
xG: 1.15 - 0.46
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.5
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al Minaa Basra Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Baghdad Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (23%) 0-0 (20%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Under 2.5 Goals 78%
Al Minaa Basra Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 18 Al Minaa … vs Al Zawra'a 0-0
Dec 12 Al Minaa … vs Al Karkh 2-2
Baghdad Form 6.7%
Date Match Result
Nov 28 Baghdad vs Al Quwa A… 0-1
Oct 30 Baghdad vs Al Shorta… 2-0
Oct 26 Baghdad vs Erbil 0-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al Minaa Basra Power 0
Baghdad Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

15

Al Minaa Basra Position

-2

Position Gap

13

Baghdad Position
Home Win Rate: 25%
Away Win Rate: 29%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.