AI Match Insights
Premier Division Feb 06, 2026
Derry City
HomeVS
19:45
Sligo Rovers
AwayAI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Derry City Win
Draw
Sligo Rovers Win
Away Win
(40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
ODDS60+M70 (77.4%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
71%
Standings
50%
Market
63%
Combined: 48%
Draw Risk: 39%
Asian Handicap: Home -1.5
xG: 1.47 - 0.70
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.7
Market confidence: 60%
Asian Handicap: Home -1.5
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Derry City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Sligo Rovers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%)
2-0 (12%)
1-1 (12%)
0-0 (11%)
2-1 (9%)
0-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
37%
Under 2.5 Goals
63%
Derry City Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31 | Derry City vs Shamrock … | 0-1 |
| Jan 09 | Derry City vs Sligo Rov… | 1-0 |
| Nov 01 | Derry City vs Cork City | 0-1 |
| Oct 26 | Derry City vs Shamrock … | 2-1 |
| Oct 17 | Derry City vs Bray Wand… | 5-1 |
| Oct 17 | Derry City vs Waterford | 1-2 |
| Oct 13 | Derry City vs Finn Harps | 1-1 |
| Oct 10 | Derry City vs Waterford | 0-2 |
| Oct 05 | Derry City vs Shamrock … | 6-1 |
| Oct 05 | Derry City vs Sligo Rov… | 1-0 |
Sligo Rovers Form 20.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31 | Sligo Rov… vs Finn Harps | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Sligo Rov… vs Galway Un… | 6-0 |
| Jan 13 | Sligo Rov… vs Finn Harps | 1-0 |
| Jan 09 | Sligo Rov… vs Derry City | 1-0 |
| Nov 01 | Sligo Rov… vs Shamrock … | 1-2 |
| Oct 25 | Sligo Rov… vs Cork City | 1-1 |
| Oct 17 | Sligo Rov… vs Shelbourne | 3-1 |
| Oct 05 | Sligo Rov… vs Derry City | 1-0 |
| Sep 27 | Sligo Rov… vs St Patric… | 1-0 |
| Sep 22 | Sligo Rov… vs Galaxy | 0-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Derry City in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
- Sligo Rovers in strong form (5W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 09, 2026 | Sligo Rovers | 1 - 0 | Derry City | Friendlies Clu… |
| Oct 05, 2025 | Derry City | 1 - 0 | Sligo Rovers | Premier Divisi… |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Derry City | 4 - 3 | Sligo Rovers | FAI Cup |
| Jul 12, 2025 | Sligo Rovers | 2 - 0 | Derry City | Premier Divisi… |
| Apr 22, 2025 | Derry City | 3 - 0 | Sligo Rovers | Premier Divisi… |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Sligo Rovers | 0 - 1 | Derry City | Premier Divisi… |
| Jan 21, 2025 | Sligo Rovers | 2 - 3 | Derry City | Friendlies Clu… |
| Oct 14, 2024 | Derry City | 1 - 1 | Sligo Rovers | Premier Divisi… |
| Jul 04, 2024 | Sligo Rovers | 2 - 1 | Derry City | Premier Divisi… |
| May 24, 2024 | Derry City | 2 - 2 | Sligo Rovers | Premier Divisi… |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Derry City to win (30% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Derry City Power
0
Sligo Rovers Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.