AI Match Insights
Liga 3 Feb 07, 2026
Varzim
HomeVS
15:00
Amarante
AwayAI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Varzim Win
Draw
Amarante Win
Home Win
(41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Player Score
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
48%
Market
50%
Combined: 40%
Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.30 - 0.40
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Varzim Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Amarante Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (50%)
0-1 (20%)
1-0 (15%)
1-1 (6%)
0-2 (4%)
2-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
9%
Over 2.5 Goals
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
97%
Varzim Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25 | Varzim vs AD Marco … | 1-3 |
| Jan 17 | Varzim vs Sanjoanen… | 2-0 |
| Jan 11 | Varzim vs Guimaraes… | 1-2 |
| Jan 04 | Varzim vs Fafe | 1-0 |
| Dec 20 | Varzim vs Trofense | 0-1 |
| Dec 13 | Varzim vs Paredes | 0-0 |
| Dec 07 | Varzim vs SC Braga B | 3-1 |
| Nov 29 | Varzim vs São João … | 1-1 |
| Nov 09 | Varzim vs Amarante | 0-0 |
| Nov 01 | Varzim vs AD Marco … | 2-1 |
Amarante Form 16.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25 | Amarante vs Trofense | 1-1 |
| Jan 18 | Amarante vs Paredes | 0-0 |
| Jan 11 | Amarante vs SC Braga B | 1-0 |
| Jan 04 | Amarante vs São João … | 0-1 |
| Dec 21 | Amarante vs Fafe | 3-2 |
| Dec 14 | Amarante vs AD Marco … | 3-2 |
| Dec 06 | Amarante vs Sanjoanen… | 0-2 |
| Nov 29 | Amarante vs Guimaraes… | 1-2 |
| Nov 09 | Amarante vs Varzim | 0-0 |
| Nov 02 | Amarante vs Trofense | 0-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Varzim in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
- Amarante in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 09, 2025 | Varzim | 0 - 0 | Amarante | Liga 3 |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Amarante | 0 - 1 | Varzim | Liga 3 |
| Apr 06, 2025 | Amarante | 2 - 1 | Varzim | Liga 3 |
| Feb 08, 2025 | Varzim | 1 - 2 | Amarante | Liga 3 |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Amarante | 0 - 1 | Varzim | Liga 3 |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Varzim | 1 - 3 | Amarante | Liga 3 |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Varzim to win (41% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Varzim Power
0
Amarante Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
3
Varzim Position-1
Position Gap2
Amarante Position
Home Win Rate: 39%
Away Win Rate: 44%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.