AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Première Division Feb 06, 2026

Stade Malien Bamako

Home
VS
16:00

Diarra

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Stade Malien Bamako Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Diarra Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 53%
xG: 1.40 - 0.80
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.8
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Stade Malien Bamako Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Diarra Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
45%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (16%) 1-1 (12%) 0-0 (11%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (9%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Under 2.5 Goals 63%
Stade Malien Bamako Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Stade Mal… vs Petro de … 0-0
Jan 25 Stade Mal… vs Petro de … 2-0
Jan 17 Stade Mal… vs Mali Coura 0-2
Jan 10 Stade Mal… vs Bougouni 0-0
Jan 04 Stade Mal… vs Onze Créa… 1-0
Dec 27 Stade Mal… vs Derby Aca… 3-0
Dec 21 Stade Mal… vs US Bougou… 0-1
Dec 17 Stade Mal… vs ASKO 0-2
Dec 14 Stade Mal… vs Djoliba AC 1-0
Dec 10 Stade Mal… vs Réal Bama… 1-1
Diarra Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Diarra vs US Bougou… 0-0
Jan 21 Diarra vs Afrique F… 4-0
Jan 15 Diarra vs ASKO 1-2
Jan 10 Diarra vs Réal Bama… 0-2
Jan 02 Diarra vs Derby Aca… 1-1
Dec 27 Diarra vs Binga 1-1
Dec 20 Diarra vs Bakaridjan 1-0
Dec 13 Diarra vs USFAS Bam… 2-1
Dec 05 Diarra vs Mali Coura 1-0
Nov 29 Diarra vs Bougouni 0-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 15, 2025 Diarra 0 - 3 Stade Malien Bamako Première Divis…
Jan 23, 2025 Stade Malien Bamako 1 - 2 Diarra Première Divis…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Stade Malien Bamako Power 0
Diarra Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Stade Malien Bamako Position

-4

Position Gap

3

Diarra Position
Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.