AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
First League Feb 15, 2026

Ludogorets Razgrad

Home
VS
12:30

Beroe

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Ludogorets Razgrad Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Beroe Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 80%
Market 50%
Combined: 56% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 3.80 - 0.57
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.8 vs 0.6 Position gap: 10 places
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Ludogorets Razgrad Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Beroe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
57%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (12%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (5%) 1-0 (5%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Ludogorets Razgrad Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Ludogoret… vs CSKA Sofia 0-1
Jan 29 Ludogoret… vs Nice 0-0
Jan 22 Ludogoret… vs Rangers FC 1-0
Dec 19 Ludogoret… vs Beroe 0-4
Dec 15 Ludogoret… vs Septemvri… 0-2
Dec 11 Ludogoret… vs PAOK 3-3
Dec 08 Ludogoret… vs Slavia So… 1-1
Dec 04 Ludogoret… vs Dobrudzha 0-2
Nov 30 Ludogoret… vs Botev Vra… 2-0
Nov 27 Ludogoret… vs Celta de … 3-2
Beroe Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Beroe vs Spartak P… 2-0
Dec 19 Beroe vs Ludogoret… 0-4
Dec 07 Beroe vs Septemvri… 0-0
Dec 03 Beroe vs Cherno Mo… 1-2
Nov 29 Beroe vs CSKA 1948 2-1
Nov 21 Beroe vs Spartak V… 0-0
Nov 08 Beroe vs Lokomotiv… 1-0
Nov 03 Beroe vs Lokomotiv… 1-3
Oct 26 Beroe vs CSKA Sofia 5-1
Oct 20 Beroe vs Montana 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Beroe struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 19, 2025 Beroe 0 - 4 Ludogorets Razgrad First League
Feb 16, 2025 Ludogorets Razgrad 2 - 1 Beroe First League
Aug 25, 2024 Beroe 0 - 1 Ludogorets Razgrad First League
Feb 26, 2024 Beroe 0 - 2 Ludogorets Razgrad First League
Aug 27, 2023 Ludogorets Razgrad 5 - 0 Beroe First League
May 03, 2023 Ludogorets Razgrad 2 - 1 Beroe First League
Oct 17, 2022 Beroe 0 - 4 Ludogorets Razgrad First League
Apr 09, 2022 Beroe 0 - 1 Ludogorets Razgrad First League
Oct 31, 2021 Ludogorets Razgrad 2 - 0 Beroe First League
May 04, 2021 Ludogorets Razgrad 3 - 1 Beroe First League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Ludogorets Razgrad to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ludogorets Razgrad Power 0
Beroe Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Ludogorets Razgrad Position

+10

Position Gap

13

Beroe Position
Home Win Rate: 56%
Away Win Rate: 11%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.