AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
First League Feb 07, 2026

Cherno More Varna

Home
VS
10:30

Spartak Varna

Away
AI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
Cherno More Varna Win
61.0%
Draw
21.8%
Spartak Varna Win
17.2%
Home Win (61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.76 - 0.24
Key Insights
xG dominance: 0.8 vs 0.2 Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Cherno More Varna Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
47%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Spartak Varna Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
79%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (37%) 1-0 (28%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (9%) 1-1 (7%) 3-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 11%
Over 2.5 Goals 8%
Under 2.5 Goals 92%
Cherno More Varna Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Cherno Mo… vs Etar Veli… 2-0
Jan 28 Cherno Mo… vs Lokomotiv… 0-1
Jan 23 Cherno Mo… vs Etar Veli… 0-6
Dec 12 Cherno Mo… vs Arda Kard… 0-3
Dec 06 Cherno Mo… vs CSKA Sofia 2-0
Dec 03 Cherno Mo… vs Beroe 1-2
Nov 29 Cherno Mo… vs Botev Plo… 2-1
Nov 22 Cherno Mo… vs Lokomotiv… 0-1
Nov 09 Cherno Mo… vs CSKA 1948 0-1
Nov 02 Cherno Mo… vs Ludogoret… 0-0
Spartak Varna Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 07 Spartak V… vs Levski So… 1-3
Dec 04 Spartak V… vs Botev Vra… 2-0
Nov 29 Spartak V… vs CSKA Sofia 0-4
Nov 21 Spartak V… vs Beroe 0-0
Nov 07 Spartak V… vs Septemvri… 1-4
Nov 01 Spartak V… vs Dobrudzha 2-0
Oct 24 Spartak V… vs Botev Plo… 3-2
Oct 18 Spartak V… vs Ludogoret… 1-1
Oct 04 Spartak V… vs CSKA 1948 1-1
Sep 28 Spartak V… vs Slavia So… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Cherno More Varna in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Spartak Varna struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 16, 2025 Spartak Varna 1 - 3 Cherno More Varna First League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Cherno More Varna to win (45% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 45% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Cherno More Varna Power 0
Spartak Varna Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Cherno More Varna Position

+8

Position Gap

12

Spartak Varna Position
Home Win Rate: 44%
Away Win Rate: 11%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.