AI Match Insights
First League Feb 06, 2026
CSKA Sofia
HomeVS
15:45
Arda Kardzhali
AwayAI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
CSKA Sofia Win
Draw
Arda Kardzhali Win
Home Win
(49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
45%
Standings
70%
Market
50%
Combined: 42%
Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.03 - 1.50
Key Insights
Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
CSKA Sofia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Arda Kardzhali Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (12%)
0-1 (12%)
1-2 (9%)
0-2 (9%)
1-0 (8%)
0-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
CSKA Sofia Form 18.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 03 | CSKA Sofia vs Ludogoret… | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | CSKA Sofia vs Dunav Ruse | 3-1 |
| Jan 28 | CSKA Sofia vs Vihren | 3-1 |
| Jan 25 | CSKA Sofia vs AS Trencin | 2-1 |
| Jan 21 | CSKA Sofia vs Zaglebie … | 0-0 |
| Jan 17 | CSKA Sofia vs Vojvodina | 1-2 |
| Jan 13 | CSKA Sofia vs NyĂregyhá… | 0-0 |
| Dec 13 | CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv… | 2-1 |
| Dec 13 | CSKA Sofia vs CSKA 1948 | 2-3 |
| Dec 06 | CSKA Sofia vs Cherno Mo… | 2-0 |
Arda Kardzhali Form 16.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 26 | Arda Kard… vs FC UFA | 2-1 |
| Dec 12 | Arda Kard… vs Cherno Mo… | 0-3 |
| Dec 06 | Arda Kard… vs Lokomotiv… | 0-2 |
| Dec 02 | Arda Kard… vs Botev Plo… | 0-0 |
| Nov 28 | Arda Kard… vs Lokomotiv… | 0-0 |
| Nov 22 | Arda Kard… vs CSKA 1948 | 3-0 |
| Nov 09 | Arda Kard… vs Ludogoret… | 2-3 |
| Nov 02 | Arda Kard… vs Levski So… | 0-3 |
| Oct 28 | Arda Kard… vs Fratria | 1-2 |
| Oct 24 | Arda Kard… vs Montana | 1-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- CSKA Sofia in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
- Arda Kardzhali in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2025 | Arda Kardzhali | 1 - 0 | CSKA Sofia | First League |
| May 31, 2025 | Arda Kardzhali | 1 - 1 | CSKA Sofia | First League |
| Feb 26, 2025 | CSKA Sofia | 2 - 1 | Arda Kardzhali | Cup |
| Feb 16, 2025 | CSKA Sofia | 2 - 0 | Arda Kardzhali | First League |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Arda Kardzhali | 2 - 1 | CSKA Sofia | First League |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Arda Kardzhali | 2 - 3 | CSKA Sofia | First League |
| Feb 28, 2024 | CSKA Sofia | 1 - 0 | Arda Kardzhali | Cup |
| Oct 27, 2023 | CSKA Sofia | 0 - 0 | Arda Kardzhali | First League |
| Oct 28, 2022 | Arda Kardzhali | 1 - 3 | CSKA Sofia | First League |
| Jul 10, 2022 | CSKA Sofia | 3 - 0 | Arda Kardzhali | First League |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: CSKA Sofia to win (43% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
CSKA Sofia Power
0
Arda Kardzhali Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
5
CSKA Sofia Position+5
Position Gap10
Arda Kardzhali Position
Home Win Rate: 56%
Away Win Rate: 44%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.