AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
J1 League Feb 08, 2026

Avispa Fukuoka

Home
VS
04:05

Fagiano Okayama

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Avispa Fukuoka Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Fagiano Okayama Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 88%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 2.53 - 0.97
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 1.0
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Avispa Fukuoka Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Fagiano Okayama Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-0 (8%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 57%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Avispa Fukuoka Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 06 Avispa Fu… vs Nagoya Gr… 1-0
Nov 30 Avispa Fu… vs Gamba Osa… 1-0
Nov 08 Avispa Fu… vs Tokyo Ver… 0-0
Oct 26 Avispa Fu… vs Shonan Be… 1-0
Oct 18 Avispa Fu… vs Machida Z… 0-0
Oct 04 Avispa Fu… vs Yokohama … 1-0
Sep 27 Avispa Fu… vs Sanfrecce… 1-2
Sep 23 Avispa Fu… vs FC Tokyo 1-0
Sep 20 Avispa Fu… vs Yokohama … 2-0
Sep 13 Avispa Fu… vs Cerezo Os… 2-4
Fagiano Okayama Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 06 Fagiano O… vs Shimizu S… 1-2
Nov 30 Fagiano O… vs Urawa 0-1
Nov 08 Fagiano O… vs Kawasaki … 1-1
Oct 25 Fagiano O… vs FC Tokyo 3-1
Oct 18 Fagiano O… vs Cerezo Os… 1-2
Oct 04 Fagiano O… vs Albirex N… 1-1
Sep 27 Fagiano O… vs Machida Z… 1-0
Sep 23 Fagiano O… vs Yokohama … 0-0
Sep 20 Fagiano O… vs Tokyo Ver… 4-2
Sep 13 Fagiano O… vs Nagoya Gr… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Fagiano Okayama struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 15, 2025 Fagiano Okayama 0 - 1 Avispa Fukuoka J1 League
Apr 25, 2025 Avispa Fukuoka 1 - 1 Fagiano Okayama J1 League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Avispa Fukuoka to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Avispa Fukuoka Power 0
Fagiano Okayama Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.