AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
J1 League Feb 06, 2026

V-Varen Nagasaki

Home
VS
10:00

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
V-Varen Nagasaki Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 3.22 - 0.62
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 0.6
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
V-Varen Nagasaki Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
54%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 3-1 (7%) 1-0 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
V-Varen Nagasaki Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 29 V-Varen N… vs Tokushima… 1-1
Nov 23 V-Varen N… vs Mito Holl… 2-1
Nov 08 V-Varen N… vs Ehime FC 0-4
Nov 02 V-Varen N… vs Júbilo Iw… 1-0
Oct 25 V-Varen N… vs Imabari 1-1
Oct 18 V-Varen N… vs Ventforet… 4-0
Oct 04 V-Varen N… vs JEF Unite… 0-2
Sep 28 V-Varen N… vs Blaublitz… 0-0
Sep 20 V-Varen N… vs Kataller … 1-1
Sep 13 V-Varen N… vs Omiya Ard… 1-2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 10 Sanfrecce… vs Shanghai … 1-0
Dec 06 Sanfrecce… vs Shonan Be… 2-1
Nov 30 Sanfrecce… vs Kawasaki … 1-2
Nov 25 Sanfrecce… vs Chengdu R… 1-1
Nov 09 Sanfrecce… vs Urawa 3-0
Nov 04 Sanfrecce… vs Gangwon FC 1-0
Nov 01 Sanfrecce… vs Kashiwa R… 1-3
Oct 25 Sanfrecce… vs Yokohama … 3-0
Oct 21 Sanfrecce… vs Ulsan Hyu… 1-0
Oct 17 Sanfrecce… vs FC Tokyo 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: V-Varen Nagasaki to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
V-Varen Nagasaki Power 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.