AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Gaúcho - 1 Feb 28, 2026

Guaraní de Bagé

Home
VS
21:00

Avenida

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Guaraní de Bagé Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Avenida Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.88 - 0.23
Key Insights
xG dominance: 0.9 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Guaraní de Bagé Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
42%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Avenida Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
80%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (33%) 1-0 (29%) 2-0 (13%) 0-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 3-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 12%
Over 2.5 Goals 10%
Under 2.5 Goals 90%
Guaraní de Bagé Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 06 Guaraní d… vs Monsoon 0-0
Jan 31 Guaraní d… vs Novo Hamb… 2-0
Jan 24 Guaraní d… vs Inter San… 1-0
Jan 22 Guaraní d… vs Gremio 0-2
Jan 18 Guaraní d… vs Caxias 4-1
Jan 15 Guaraní d… vs Ypiranga-… 1-1
Jan 10 Guaraní d… vs Monsoon 1-1
Mar 13 Guaraní d… vs Athletico… 3-1
Feb 26 Guaraní d… vs Santos 2-1
Feb 23 Guaraní d… vs São Luiz 0-2
Avenida Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 06 Avenida vs Inter San… 1-1
Jan 31 Avenida vs Inter San… 1-0
Jan 24 Avenida vs Novo Hamb… 1-1
Jan 22 Avenida vs Ypiranga-… 3-0
Jan 18 Avenida vs Monsoon 0-0
Jan 15 Avenida vs Caxias 3-0
Jan 11 Avenida vs Gremio 0-4
Mar 15 Avenida vs Brasil de… 0-1
Mar 09 Avenida vs Pelotas FC 4-1
Mar 05 Avenida vs São José 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Guaraní de Bagé struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Guaraní de Bagé to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Guaraní de Bagé Power 0
Avenida Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Guaraní de Bagé Position

-2

Position Gap

1

Avenida Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.