AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Gaúcho - 1 Feb 08, 2026

Avenida

Home
VS
22:00

Guaraní de Bagé

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Avenida Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Guaraní de Bagé Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 63%
Market 50%
Combined: 63% Draw Risk: 24%
xG: 4.50 - 0.77
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.8
Score Prediction Analysis
Avenida Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Guaraní de Bagé Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (2%) 1-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Avenida Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 06 Avenida vs Inter San… 1-1
Jan 31 Avenida vs Inter San… 1-0
Jan 24 Avenida vs Novo Hamb… 1-1
Jan 22 Avenida vs Ypiranga-… 3-0
Jan 18 Avenida vs Monsoon 0-0
Jan 15 Avenida vs Caxias 3-0
Jan 11 Avenida vs Gremio 0-4
Mar 15 Avenida vs Brasil de… 0-1
Mar 09 Avenida vs Pelotas FC 4-1
Mar 05 Avenida vs São José 1-0
Guaraní de Bagé Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 06 Guaraní d… vs Monsoon 0-0
Jan 31 Guaraní d… vs Novo Hamb… 2-0
Jan 24 Guaraní d… vs Inter San… 1-0
Jan 22 Guaraní d… vs Gremio 0-2
Jan 18 Guaraní d… vs Caxias 4-1
Jan 15 Guaraní d… vs Ypiranga-… 1-1
Jan 10 Guaraní d… vs Monsoon 1-1
Mar 13 Guaraní d… vs Athletico… 3-1
Feb 26 Guaraní d… vs Santos 2-1
Feb 23 Guaraní d… vs São Luiz 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Guaraní de Bagé struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Avenida to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Avenida Power 0
Guaraní de Bagé Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Avenida Position

+2

Position Gap

3

Guaraní de Bagé Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.