AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
GaĂşcho - 1 Feb 07, 2026

Gremio

Home
VS
21:30

Novo Hamburgo

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Gremio Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Novo Hamburgo Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 64%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 2.43 - 0.32
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 0.3
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Gremio Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Novo Hamburgo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
73%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (19%) 1-0 (16%) 3-0 (15%) 0-0 (6%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Under 2.5 Goals 52%
Gremio Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 05 Gremio vs Botafogo 5-3
Jan 31 Gremio vs Juventude 1-1
Jan 28 Gremio vs Fluminense 2-1
Jan 25 Gremio vs Internaci… 4-2
Jan 22 Gremio vs Guaraní d… 0-2
Jan 17 Gremio vs SĂŁo Luiz 5-0
Jan 15 Gremio vs São José 0-1
Jan 11 Gremio vs Avenida 0-4
Nov 22 Gremio vs Botafogo 3-2
Sep 24 Gremio vs Botafogo 1-1
Novo Hamburgo Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Novo Hamb… vs Guaraní d… 2-0
Jan 24 Novo Hamb… vs Avenida 1-1
Jan 21 Novo Hamb… vs São Luiz 1-0
Jan 17 Novo Hamb… vs São José 0-0
Jan 14 Novo Hamb… vs Juventude 1-1
Jan 11 Novo Hamb… vs Internaci… 2-1
Aug 30 Novo Hamb… vs Inter San… 0-0
Aug 24 Novo Hamb… vs Inter San… 3-2
Aug 17 Novo Hamb… vs Aimoré 0-0
Aug 10 Novo Hamb… vs Aimoré 3-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Gremio Power 0
Novo Hamburgo Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Gremio Position

+3

Position Gap

4

Novo Hamburgo Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.