AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Gaúcho - 1 Feb 06, 2026

Caxias

Home
VS
23:30

Ypiranga-RS

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Caxias Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Ypiranga-RS Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 3.24 - 0.32
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 0.3
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Caxias Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Ypiranga-RS Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
73%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (16%) 2-0 (15%) 1-0 (9%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 26%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Caxias Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Caxias vs Internaci… 0-1
Jan 26 Caxias vs São José 1-0
Jan 22 Caxias vs Juventude 1-0
Jan 18 Caxias vs Guaraní d… 4-1
Jan 15 Caxias vs Avenida 3-0
Jan 11 Caxias vs São Luiz 1-1
Oct 11 Caxias vs Floresta 1-1
Oct 05 Caxias vs São Berna… 1-0
Sep 28 Caxias vs Londrina 0-1
Sep 20 Caxias vs Londrina 1-1
Ypiranga-RS Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Ypiranga-… vs São José 1-1
Jan 24 Ypiranga-… vs São Luiz 2-2
Jan 22 Ypiranga-… vs Avenida 3-0
Jan 18 Ypiranga-… vs Internaci… 2-1
Jan 15 Ypiranga-… vs Guaraní d… 1-1
Jan 10 Ypiranga-… vs Juventude 1-1
Oct 18 Ypiranga-… vs Acadêmica… 1-2
Oct 11 Ypiranga-… vs Laguna 2-0
Oct 08 Ypiranga-… vs Caruaru C… 1-1
Sep 27 Ypiranga-… vs Desportiv… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Caxias struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 03, 2025 Ypiranga-RS 0 - 1 Caxias Serie C
Aug 07, 2024 Ypiranga-RS 1 - 0 Caxias Serie C
Jan 24, 2024 Ypiranga-RS 2 - 2 Caxias Gaúcho - 1
Mar 04, 2023 Caxias 3 - 0 Ypiranga-RS Gaúcho - 1
Mar 05, 2022 Ypiranga-RS 2 - 0 Caxias Gaúcho - 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Caxias to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Caxias Power 0
Ypiranga-RS Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Caxias Position

+1

Position Gap

3

Ypiranga-RS Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.