AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Jupiler Pro League Jan 11, 2025

KVC Westerlo

Home
VS
15:00

St. Truiden

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
KVC Westerlo Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
St. Truiden Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 32%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 3.58 - 1.00
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.6 vs 1.0
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
KVC Westerlo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
10%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
St. Truiden Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
37%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 2-0 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 3-2 (4%) 1-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Under 2.5 Goals 32%
KVC Westerlo Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 26 KVC Weste… vs St. Truid… 2-0
May 03 KVC Weste… vs St. Truid… 2-2
Mar 31 KVC Weste… vs St. Truid… 2-0
Feb 24 KVC Weste… vs St. Truid… 1-0
Nov 10 KVC Weste… vs St. Truid… 3-3
Jul 01 KVC Weste… vs St. Truid… 2-2
St. Truiden Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 07 St. Truid… vs Gent 0-4
Dec 27 St. Truid… vs Cercle Br… 1-1
Dec 21 St. Truid… vs Charleroi 2-1
Dec 21 St. Truid… vs Charleroi 2-1
Dec 15 St. Truid… vs Anderlecht 0-2
Dec 15 St. Truid… vs Anderlecht 0-2
Dec 07 St. Truid… vs Gent 2-0
Dec 07 St. Truid… vs Gent 2-0
Dec 04 St. Truid… vs Cercle Br… 0-1
Dec 01 St. Truid… vs Gent 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • KVC Westerlo struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • St. Truiden struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 26, 2024 St. Truiden 2 - 0 KVC Westerlo Jupiler Pro Le…
May 03, 2024 KVC Westerlo 2 - 2 St. Truiden Jupiler Pro Le…
Mar 31, 2024 St. Truiden 2 - 0 KVC Westerlo Jupiler Pro Le…
Feb 24, 2024 St. Truiden 1 - 0 KVC Westerlo Jupiler Pro Le…
Nov 10, 2023 KVC Westerlo 3 - 3 St. Truiden Jupiler Pro Le…
Jul 01, 2023 KVC Westerlo 2 - 2 St. Truiden Friendlies Clu…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
KVC Westerlo Power 0
St. Truiden Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

KVC Westerlo Position

-9

Position Gap

2

St. Truiden Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 55%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.