AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Jupiler Pro League Oct 26, 2024

St. Truiden

Home
VS
18:45

KVC Westerlo

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
St. Truiden Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
KVC Westerlo Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 93%
Standings 78%
Market 50%
Combined: 56% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 2.16 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.2 Position gap: 9 places
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
St. Truiden Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
11%
KVC Westerlo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (22%) 1-0 (20%) 3-0 (16%) 0-0 (9%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Under 2.5 Goals 60%
St. Truiden Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 20 St. Truid… vs Gent 3-2
Oct 06 St. Truid… vs Gent 1-1
Oct 06 St. Truid… vs Gent 1-1
Sep 29 St. Truid… vs Cercle Br… 1-1
Sep 21 St. Truid… vs Beerschot… 0-3
Sep 15 St. Truid… vs OH Leuven 2-1
Sep 15 St. Truid… vs Oud-Hever… 2-1
Sep 01 St. Truid… vs Kortrijk 1-1
Aug 25 St. Truid… vs St. Gillo… 0-0
Aug 17 St. Truid… vs Dender 3-3
KVC Westerlo Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
May 03 KVC Weste… vs St. Truid… 2-2
Mar 31 KVC Weste… vs St. Truid… 2-0
Feb 24 KVC Weste… vs St. Truid… 1-0
Nov 10 KVC Weste… vs St. Truid… 3-3
Jul 01 KVC Weste… vs St. Truid… 2-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 03, 2024 KVC Westerlo 2 - 2 St. Truiden Jupiler Pro Le…
Mar 31, 2024 St. Truiden 2 - 0 KVC Westerlo Jupiler Pro Le…
Feb 24, 2024 St. Truiden 1 - 0 KVC Westerlo Jupiler Pro Le…
Nov 10, 2023 KVC Westerlo 3 - 3 St. Truiden Jupiler Pro Le…
Jul 01, 2023 KVC Westerlo 2 - 2 St. Truiden Friendlies Clu…
Final Verdict

MASTER: St. Truiden to win (78% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 78% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 97
St. Truiden Power 0
KVC Westerlo Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

St. Truiden Position

+9

Position Gap

11

KVC Westerlo Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 17%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.