AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Jupiler Pro League Mar 31, 2024

St. Truiden

Home
VS
16:30

KVC Westerlo

Away
AI Predictions 50.3% Confidence
St. Truiden Win
50.3%
Draw
23.9%
KVC Westerlo Win
25.7%
Home Win (50% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 78%
Market 50%
Combined: 56% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 2.68 - 0.47
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.7 vs 0.5 Position gap: 9 places
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
St. Truiden Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
KVC Westerlo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (15%) 3-0 (14%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 35%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
St. Truiden Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 17 St. Truid… vs Cercle Br… 2-1
Mar 17 St. Truid… vs Cercle Br… 2-1
Mar 10 St. Truid… vs AS Eupen 1-0
Mar 03 St. Truid… vs Antwerp 3-0
Mar 03 St. Truid… vs Antwerp 3-0
Feb 24 St. Truid… vs Westerlo 1-0
Feb 24 St. Truid… vs KVC Weste… 1-0
Feb 18 St. Truid… vs Anderlecht 4-1
Feb 18 St. Truid… vs Anderlecht 4-1
Feb 09 St. Truid… vs Kortrijk 1-0
KVC Westerlo Form 6.7%
Date Match Result
Feb 24 KVC Weste… vs St. Truid… 1-0
Nov 10 KVC Weste… vs St. Truid… 3-3
Jul 01 KVC Weste… vs St. Truid… 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • St. Truiden struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 24, 2024 St. Truiden 1 - 0 KVC Westerlo Jupiler Pro Le…
Nov 10, 2023 KVC Westerlo 3 - 3 St. Truiden Jupiler Pro Le…
Jul 01, 2023 KVC Westerlo 2 - 2 St. Truiden Friendlies Clu…
Final Verdict

MASTER: St. Truiden to win (78% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 78% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 97
St. Truiden Power 0
KVC Westerlo Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

St. Truiden Position

+9

Position Gap

11

KVC Westerlo Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 17%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.