AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Jupiler Pro League Feb 24, 2024

St. Truiden

Home
VS
17:15

KVC Westerlo

Away
AI Predictions 40.3% Confidence
St. Truiden Win
40.3%
Draw
25.9%
KVC Westerlo Win
33.7%
Home Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 78%
Market 50%
Combined: 56% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 3.99 - 1.07
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.0 vs 1.1 Position gap: 9 places
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
St. Truiden Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
7%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
20%
KVC Westerlo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
34%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (7%) 3-0 (7%) 2-1 (5%) 2-0 (5%) 3-2 (4%) 2-2 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Under 2.5 Goals 33%
St. Truiden Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 18 St. Truid… vs Anderlecht 4-1
Feb 18 St. Truid… vs Anderlecht 4-1
Feb 09 St. Truid… vs Kortrijk 1-0
Feb 04 St. Truid… vs Cercle Br… 4-1
Feb 01 St. Truid… vs Gent 4-1
Feb 01 St. Truid… vs Gent 4-1
Jan 28 St. Truid… vs Gent 1-1
Jan 21 St. Truid… vs St. Gillo… 2-1
Dec 27 St. Truid… vs Standard … 1-1
Dec 27 St. Truid… vs Standard … 1-1
KVC Westerlo Form 13.3%
Date Match Result
Nov 10 KVC Weste… vs St. Truid… 3-3
Jul 01 KVC Weste… vs St. Truid… 2-2
Feb 19 KVC Weste… vs St. Truid… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • St. Truiden struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 10, 2023 KVC Westerlo 3 - 3 St. Truiden Jupiler Pro Le…
Jul 01, 2023 KVC Westerlo 2 - 2 St. Truiden Friendlies Clu…
Feb 19, 2023 St. Truiden 0 - 1 KVC Westerlo Jupiler Pro Le…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: St. Truiden to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
St. Truiden Power 0
KVC Westerlo Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

St. Truiden Position

+9

Position Gap

11

KVC Westerlo Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 17%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.