AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Jupiler Pro League Feb 19, 2023

St. Truiden

Home
VS
18:15

KVC Westerlo

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
St. Truiden Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
KVC Westerlo Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 50%
Standings 78%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.86 - 1.11
Key Insights
Position gap: 9 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
St. Truiden Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
42%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
KVC Westerlo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (15%) 0-0 (14%) 1-1 (13%) 1-0 (12%) 0-2 (9%) 1-2 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 39%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Under 2.5 Goals 69%
St. Truiden Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 12 St. Truid… vs Anderlecht 3-1
Jan 28 St. Truid… vs OH Leuven 1-1
Jan 22 St. Truid… vs Gent 0-3
Jan 19 St. Truid… vs Cercle Br… 1-1
Jan 06 St. Truid… vs Standard … 1-1
Dec 21 St. Truid… vs Cercle Br… 1-4
Oct 22 St. Truid… vs OH Leuven 0-0
Oct 19 St. Truid… vs Cercle Br… 3-0
Oct 15 St. Truid… vs Charleroi 2-1
Oct 07 St. Truid… vs Antwerp 2-0
KVC Westerlo Form 50%

No recent form data available

Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: St. Truiden to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
St. Truiden Power 0
KVC Westerlo Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

St. Truiden Position

+9

Position Gap

11

KVC Westerlo Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 17%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.