AI Match Insights

Ligue 2 Jan 17, 2025

RED Star FC 93

Home
VS
19:00

Pau FC

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
RED Star FC 93 Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Pau FC Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 57%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 1.49 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.2 Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
RED Star FC 93 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
5%
Pau FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (27%) 2-0 (20%) 0-0 (18%) 3-0 (10%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 14%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Under 2.5 Goals 76%
RED Star FC 93 Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 22 RED Star … vs Pau FC 4-1
Pau FC Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 10 Pau FC vs Dunkerque 1-1
Jan 04 Pau FC vs Metz 0-0
Dec 13 Pau FC vs Ajaccio 1-0
Dec 06 Pau FC vs Rodez 1-0
Dec 06 Pau FC vs Rodez 1-0
Nov 22 Pau FC vs Red Star 4-1
Nov 22 Pau FC vs RED Star … 4-1
Nov 09 Pau FC vs Paris FC 0-0
Nov 01 Pau FC vs Annecy 2-0
Oct 29 Pau FC vs Estac Tro… 3-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 22, 2024 Pau FC 4 - 1 RED Star FC 93 Ligue 2
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Pau FC to win (57% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 0-1 57% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_AWAY_25+ SCORING_THREAT_AWAY
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
RED Star FC 93 Power 0
Pau FC Power 34
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

RED Star FC 93 Position

+6

Position Gap

10

Pau FC Position

Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.