AI Match Insights

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2. Bundesliga Mar 08, 2025

SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth

Home
VS
12:00

FC Magdeburg

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
FC Magdeburg Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 3.80 - 0.38
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.8 vs 0.4
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
FC Magdeburg Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
68%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (11%) 1-0 (6%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 31%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 28 SpVgg Gre… vs Fortuna D… 1-2
Feb 23 SpVgg Gre… vs Eintracht… 3-0
Feb 15 SpVgg Gre… vs SV Elvers… 2-0
Feb 07 SpVgg Gre… vs Jahn Rege… 2-1
Feb 02 SpVgg Gre… vs SC Paderb… 1-2
Jan 24 SpVgg Gre… vs FC Kaiser… 2-4
Jan 18 SpVgg Gre… vs Preussen … 2-1
Dec 21 SpVgg Gre… vs Hamburger… 5-0
Dec 15 SpVgg Gre… vs Hannover … 1-0
Dec 07 SpVgg Gre… vs Hertha 2-1
FC Magdeburg Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 06 FC Magdeb… vs SpVgg Gre… 2-2
May 10 FC Magdeb… vs SpVgg Gre… 0-0
Dec 09 FC Magdeb… vs SpVgg Gre… 1-1
Mar 18 FC Magdeb… vs SpVgg Gre… 3-0
Sep 11 FC Magdeb… vs SpVgg Gre… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 06, 2024 FC Magdeburg 2 - 2 SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth 2. Bundesliga
May 10, 2024 FC Magdeburg 0 - 0 SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth 2. Bundesliga
Dec 09, 2023 SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth 1 - 1 FC Magdeburg 2. Bundesliga
Mar 18, 2023 SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth 3 - 0 FC Magdeburg 2. Bundesliga
Sep 11, 2022 FC Magdeburg 2 - 1 SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth 2. Bundesliga
Final Verdict

ELITE: SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth to win (95% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 2-0 95% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_25+ (68%) SCORING_THREAT_HOME
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 81
  • Power: 51 vs 0
SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth Power 51
FC Magdeburg Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

18

SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth Position

-1

Position Gap

17

FC Magdeburg Position
Home Win Rate: 22%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.