AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
2. Bundesliga Oct 06, 2024

FC Magdeburg

Home
VS
11:30

SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth

Away
AI Predictions 55.5% Confidence
FC Magdeburg Win
55.5%
Draw
22.9%
SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth Win
21.6%
Home Win (56% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 49%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 51%
xG: 1.43 - 0.48
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.5
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Magdeburg Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
62%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (21%) 2-0 (15%) 0-0 (15%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (7%) 3-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 29%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Under 2.5 Goals 70%
FC Magdeburg Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 10 FC Magdeb… vs SpVgg Gre… 0-0
Dec 09 FC Magdeb… vs SpVgg Gre… 1-1
Mar 18 FC Magdeb… vs SpVgg Gre… 3-0
Sep 11 FC Magdeb… vs SpVgg Gre… 2-1
SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 27 SpVgg Gre… vs Fortuna D… 1-2
Sep 27 SpVgg Gre… vs Fortuna D… 1-2
Sep 21 SpVgg Gre… vs Eintracht… 2-0
Sep 21 SpVgg Gre… vs Eintracht… 2-0
Sep 15 SpVgg Gre… vs SV Elvers… 0-0
Aug 30 SpVgg Gre… vs Jahn Rege… 0-4
Aug 24 SpVgg Gre… vs SC Paderb… 1-1
Aug 09 SpVgg Gre… vs FC Kaiser… 2-2
Aug 04 SpVgg Gre… vs Preussen … 3-1
Aug 04 SpVgg Gre… vs Preussen … 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 10, 2024 FC Magdeburg 0 - 0 SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth 2. Bundesliga
Dec 09, 2023 SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth 1 - 1 FC Magdeburg 2. Bundesliga
Mar 18, 2023 SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth 3 - 0 FC Magdeburg 2. Bundesliga
Sep 11, 2022 FC Magdeburg 2 - 1 SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth 2. Bundesliga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 0-2 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_AWAY_25+ SCORING_THREAT_AWAY
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC Magdeburg Power 0
SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth Power 51
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

17

FC Magdeburg Position

+1

Position Gap

18

SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth Position
Home Win Rate: 20%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.