AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
2. Bundesliga Mar 18, 2023

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Home
VS
12:00

FC Magdeburg

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
SpVgg Greuther Fürth Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
FC Magdeburg Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 22%
xG: 1.92 - 1.12
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 1.1
Score Prediction Analysis
SpVgg Greuther Fürth Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
FC Magdeburg Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (9%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (6%) 1-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 57%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 18 SpVgg Gre… vs Fortuna D… 2-1
Feb 04 SpVgg Gre… vs FC Nurnbe… 1-0
Jan 28 SpVgg Gre… vs Holstein … 2-1
Nov 13 SpVgg Gre… vs SV Darmst… 1-1
Nov 06 SpVgg Gre… vs Eintracht… 0-1
Sep 11 SpVgg Gre… vs FC Magdeb… 2-1
Aug 14 SpVgg Gre… vs Fortuna D… 2-2
Jul 23 SpVgg Gre… vs FC Nurnbe… 2-0
Jul 16 SpVgg Gre… vs Holstein … 2-2
May 14 SpVgg Gre… vs FC Augsbu… 2-1
FC Magdeburg Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 11 FC Magdeb… vs SpVgg Gre… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • SpVgg Greuther Fürth in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 11, 2022 FC Magdeburg 2 - 1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2. Bundesliga
Final Verdict

ELITE: SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win (95% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 2-0 95% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_25+ (68%) SCORING_THREAT_HOME
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 81
  • Power: 51 vs 0
SpVgg Greuther Fürth Power 51
FC Magdeburg Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

18

SpVgg Greuther Fürth Position

-1

Position Gap

17

FC Magdeburg Position
Home Win Rate: 22%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.