AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
2. Bundesliga Sep 11, 2022

FC Magdeburg

Home
VS
11:30

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
FC Magdeburg Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 49%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 1.68 - 0.93
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.9
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Magdeburg Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 2-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 0-0 (7%) 0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 49%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Under 2.5 Goals 52%
FC Magdeburg Form 50%

No recent form data available

SpVgg Greuther Fürth Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 14 SpVgg Gre… vs Fortuna D… 2-2
Jul 23 SpVgg Gre… vs FC Nurnbe… 2-0
Jul 16 SpVgg Gre… vs Holstein … 2-2
May 14 SpVgg Gre… vs FC Augsbu… 2-1
Mar 05 SpVgg Gre… vs VfL Bochum 2-1
Feb 12 SpVgg Gre… vs Hertha Be… 2-1
Dec 18 SpVgg Gre… vs FC Augsbu… 0-0
Oct 16 SpVgg Gre… vs VfL Bochum 0-1
Sep 17 SpVgg Gre… vs Hertha Be… 2-1
May 23 SpVgg Gre… vs Fortuna D… 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • SpVgg Greuther Fürth struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 0-2 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_AWAY_25+ SCORING_THREAT_AWAY
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC Magdeburg Power 0
SpVgg Greuther Fürth Power 51
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

17

FC Magdeburg Position

+1

Position Gap

18

SpVgg Greuther Fürth Position
Home Win Rate: 20%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.