AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premier Division May 17, 2024

Dundalk

Home
VS
18:45

Shamrock Rovers

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Dundalk Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Shamrock Rovers Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 2.96 - 0.42
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 0.4
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Dundalk Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Shamrock Rovers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (15%) 3-0 (15%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Dundalk Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
May 06 Dundalk vs Drogheda … 2-1
Apr 01 Dundalk vs Drogheda … 0-0
Feb 16 Dundalk vs Shamrock … 1-1
Sep 29 Dundalk vs Drogheda … 3-1
Aug 25 Dundalk vs Shamrock … 1-0
Jul 23 Dundalk vs Shamrock … 1-0
Jun 30 Dundalk vs Shamrock … 2-0
Jun 23 Dundalk vs Drogheda … 1-2
Jun 02 Dundalk vs Shamrock … 2-0
Apr 28 Dundalk vs Drogheda … 3-2
Shamrock Rovers Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 19 Shamrock … vs Derry City 1-3
Mar 04 Shamrock … vs Derry City 2-2
Feb 16 Shamrock … vs Dundalk 1-1
Feb 09 Shamrock … vs St Patric… 3-1
Sep 15 Shamrock … vs Derry City 1-1
Aug 25 Shamrock … vs Dundalk 1-0
Jul 23 Shamrock … vs Dundalk 1-0
Jul 18 Shamrock … vs Breidablik 2-1
Jul 11 Shamrock … vs Breidablik 0-1
Jun 30 Shamrock … vs Dundalk 2-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 16, 2024 Shamrock Rovers 1 - 1 Dundalk Premier Divisi…
Aug 25, 2023 Shamrock Rovers 1 - 0 Dundalk Premier Divisi…
Jul 23, 2023 Dundalk 1 - 0 Shamrock Rovers FAI Cup
Jun 30, 2023 Dundalk 2 - 0 Shamrock Rovers Premier Divisi…
Jun 02, 2023 Shamrock Rovers 2 - 0 Dundalk Premier Divisi…
Mar 31, 2023 Dundalk 0 - 4 Shamrock Rovers Premier Divisi…
Aug 21, 2022 Shamrock Rovers 3 - 0 Dundalk Premier Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Dundalk to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Dundalk Power 0
Shamrock Rovers Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.