AI Match Insights

Premier Division Aug 25, 2023

Shamrock Rovers

Home
VS
18:45

Dundalk

Away
AI Predictions 44.4% Confidence
Shamrock Rovers Win
27.0%
Draw
28.6%
Dundalk Win
44.4%
Away Win (44% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 2.93 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.9 vs 0.2
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Shamrock Rovers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Dundalk Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (19%) 3-0 (18%) 1-0 (13%) 0-0 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 3-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Under 2.5 Goals 47%
Shamrock Rovers Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 23 Shamrock … vs Dundalk 1-0
Jul 18 Shamrock … vs Breidablik 2-1
Jul 11 Shamrock … vs Breidablik 0-1
Jun 30 Shamrock … vs Dundalk 2-0
Jun 02 Shamrock … vs Dundalk 2-0
Mar 31 Shamrock … vs Dundalk 0-4
Aug 21 Shamrock … vs Dundalk 3-0
Dundalk Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 23 Dundalk vs Shamrock … 1-0
Jun 30 Dundalk vs Shamrock … 2-0
Jun 23 Dundalk vs Drogheda … 1-2
Jun 02 Dundalk vs Shamrock … 2-0
Apr 28 Dundalk vs Drogheda … 3-2
Mar 31 Dundalk vs Shamrock … 0-4
Mar 16 Dundalk vs Drogheda … 0-1
Aug 21 Dundalk vs Shamrock … 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Dundalk in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
  • Shamrock Rovers struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 23, 2023 Dundalk 1 - 0 Shamrock Rovers FAI Cup
Jun 30, 2023 Dundalk 2 - 0 Shamrock Rovers Premier Divisi…
Jun 02, 2023 Shamrock Rovers 2 - 0 Dundalk Premier Divisi…
Mar 31, 2023 Dundalk 0 - 4 Shamrock Rovers Premier Divisi…
Aug 21, 2022 Shamrock Rovers 3 - 0 Dundalk Premier Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Shamrock Rovers to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Shamrock Rovers Power 0
Dundalk Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.