AI Match Insights

Friendlies Clubs Jan 09, 2026

Sligo Rovers

Home
VS
14:00

Derry City

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Sligo Rovers Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Derry City Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 2.55 - 0.50
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 0.5
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sligo Rovers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Derry City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
61%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (15%) 3-0 (13%) 1-0 (12%) 2-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 36%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Under 2.5 Goals 46%
Sligo Rovers Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 01 Sligo Rov… vs Shamrock … 1-2
Oct 25 Sligo Rov… vs Cork City 1-1
Oct 17 Sligo Rov… vs Shelbourne 3-1
Oct 05 Sligo Rov… vs Derry City 1-0
Sep 27 Sligo Rov… vs St Patric… 1-0
Sep 22 Sligo Rov… vs Galaxy 0-1
Sep 19 Sligo Rov… vs Drogheda … 1-1
Sep 12 Sligo Rov… vs Derry City 4-3
Aug 30 Sligo Rov… vs Bohemians… 0-0
Aug 22 Sligo Rov… vs Waterford 1-2
Derry City Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 01 Derry City vs Cork City 0-1
Oct 26 Derry City vs Shamrock … 2-1
Oct 17 Derry City vs Bray Wand… 5-1
Oct 17 Derry City vs Waterford 1-2
Oct 13 Derry City vs Finn Harps 1-1
Oct 10 Derry City vs Waterford 0-2
Oct 05 Derry City vs Shamrock … 6-1
Oct 05 Derry City vs Sligo Rov… 1-0
Sep 26 Derry City vs Drogheda … 1-1
Sep 26 Derry City vs Treaty Un… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Derry City in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 05, 2025 Derry City 1 - 0 Sligo Rovers Premier Divisi…
Sep 12, 2025 Derry City 4 - 3 Sligo Rovers FAI Cup
Jul 12, 2025 Sligo Rovers 2 - 0 Derry City Premier Divisi…
Apr 22, 2025 Derry City 3 - 0 Sligo Rovers Premier Divisi…
Mar 15, 2025 Sligo Rovers 0 - 1 Derry City Premier Divisi…
Jan 21, 2025 Sligo Rovers 2 - 3 Derry City Friendlies Clu…
Oct 14, 2024 Derry City 1 - 1 Sligo Rovers Premier Divisi…
Jul 04, 2024 Sligo Rovers 2 - 1 Derry City Premier Divisi…
May 24, 2024 Derry City 2 - 2 Sligo Rovers Premier Divisi…
Feb 24, 2024 Sligo Rovers 0 - 0 Derry City Premier Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Sligo Rovers to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sligo Rovers Power 0
Derry City Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.