AI Match Insights

Premier Division Jul 04, 2024

Sligo Rovers

Home
VS
18:45

Derry City

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Sligo Rovers Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Derry City Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 2.35 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 0.2
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sligo Rovers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
12%
Derry City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (22%) 1-0 (18%) 3-0 (17%) 0-0 (8%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Under 2.5 Goals 56%
Sligo Rovers Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
May 24 Sligo Rov… vs Derry City 2-2
Feb 24 Sligo Rov… vs Derry City 0-0
Feb 10 Sligo Rov… vs Finn Harps 2-1
Feb 11 Sligo Rov… vs Finn Harps 2-0
Aug 19 Sligo Rov… vs Finn Harps 3-2
Jun 18 Sligo Rov… vs Finn Harps 3-0
Apr 18 Sligo Rov… vs Finn Harps 0-1
Mar 14 Sligo Rov… vs Finn Harps 3-1
Oct 23 Sligo Rov… vs Finn Harps 2-2
Derry City Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
May 24 Derry City vs Sligo Rov… 2-2
May 20 Derry City vs Shamrock … 1-0
Apr 19 Derry City vs Shamrock … 1-3
Mar 04 Derry City vs Shamrock … 2-2
Feb 24 Derry City vs Sligo Rov… 0-0
Sep 15 Derry City vs Shamrock … 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 24, 2024 Derry City 2 - 2 Sligo Rovers Premier Divisi…
Feb 24, 2024 Sligo Rovers 0 - 0 Derry City Premier Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Sligo Rovers to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sligo Rovers Power 0
Derry City Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.