AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Friendlies Clubs Jan 18, 2025

Shelbourne

Home
VS
00:00

Waterford

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Shelbourne Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Waterford Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 4.50 - 1.52
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 1.5
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Shelbourne Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Waterford Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
22%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-2 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 3-0 (4%) 2-2 (3%) 2-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Shelbourne Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 01 Shelbourne vs Derry City 0-1
Oct 25 Shelbourne vs Drogheda … 2-1
Oct 18 Shelbourne vs Waterford 3-1
Oct 06 Shelbourne vs Shamrock … 2-0
Sep 30 Shelbourne vs St Patric… 2-3
Sep 27 Shelbourne vs Sligo Rov… 0-0
Sep 20 Shelbourne vs Galaxy 1-0
Sep 14 Shelbourne vs Derry City 2-0
Sep 06 Shelbourne vs Bohemians… 1-1
Aug 30 Shelbourne vs Dundalk 0-1
Waterford Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 01 Waterford vs Shamrock … 2-1
Oct 28 Waterford vs Athlone T… 0-0
Oct 25 Waterford vs Bohemians… 1-1
Oct 24 Waterford vs Athlone T… 1-0
Oct 18 Waterford vs Shelbourne 3-1
Oct 18 Waterford vs Cork City 6-0
Oct 14 Waterford vs Finn Harps 1-3
Oct 11 Waterford vs Drogheda … 0-0
Oct 11 Waterford vs Derry City 4-0
Oct 06 Waterford vs Drogheda … 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Shelbourne in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Waterford struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 18, 2024 Shelbourne 3 - 1 Waterford Premier Divisi…
Jun 13, 2024 Waterford 0 - 1 Shelbourne Premier Divisi…
May 17, 2024 Shelbourne 1 - 0 Waterford Premier Divisi…
Feb 16, 2024 Waterford 1 - 1 Shelbourne Premier Divisi…
Oct 16, 2022 Waterford 0 - 1 Shelbourne FAI Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Shelbourne to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Shelbourne Power 0
Waterford Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.