AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Bundesliga Sep 28, 2024

RB Salzburg

Home
VS
15:00

Austria Wien

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
RB Salzburg Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Austria Wien Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 58%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 3.67 - 1.60
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.7 vs 1.6
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
RB Salzburg Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Austria Wien Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 3-2 (5%) 2-2 (4%) 3-0 (4%) 2-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Under 2.5 Goals 27%
RB Salzburg Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 10 RB Salzbu… vs FC BW Linz 5-1
May 19 RB Salzbu… vs LASK Linz 7-1
May 12 RB Salzbu… vs TSV Hartb… 1-5
May 05 RB Salzbu… vs Rapid Wien 2-0
Apr 28 RB Salzbu… vs Sturm Graz 2-2
Apr 24 RB Salzbu… vs Austria W… 4-3
Apr 21 RB Salzbu… vs Austria W… 4-2
Apr 12 RB Salzbu… vs LASK Linz 3-1
Apr 07 RB Salzbu… vs Rapid Wien 1-1
Apr 04 RB Salzbu… vs Sturm Graz 3-4
Austria Wien Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 25 Austria W… vs Sturm Graz 2-2
Aug 27 Austria W… vs Admira Wa… 1-3
Aug 11 Austria W… vs Wolfsberg… 3-1
Aug 04 Austria W… vs FC BW Linz 1-0
Jun 29 Austria W… vs Dunajska … 0-0
May 28 Austria W… vs TSV Hartb… 0-1
May 24 Austria W… vs TSV Hartb… 2-1
May 21 Austria W… vs Wolfsberg… 1-2
May 19 Austria W… vs Sturm Graz 2-0
May 18 Austria W… vs SCR Altach 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • RB Salzburg in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 24, 2024 Austria Wien 4 - 3 RB Salzburg Bundesliga
Apr 21, 2024 RB Salzburg 4 - 2 Austria Wien Bundesliga
Nov 12, 2023 Austria Wien 0 - 0 RB Salzburg Bundesliga
Aug 13, 2023 RB Salzburg 2 - 0 Austria Wien Bundesliga
Jun 03, 2023 Austria Wien 1 - 1 RB Salzburg Bundesliga
Apr 09, 2023 RB Salzburg 3 - 3 Austria Wien Bundesliga
Oct 16, 2022 Austria Wien 1 - 3 RB Salzburg Bundesliga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: RB Salzburg to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
RB Salzburg Power 0
Austria Wien Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

RB Salzburg Position

+4

Position Gap

5

Austria Wien Position
Home Win Rate: 56%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.