AI Match Insights

Premijer Liga Aug 30, 2024

FK Sarajevo

Home
VS
19:00

Radnik Bijeljina

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
FK Sarajevo Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Radnik Bijeljina Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 73%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 4.50 - 0.46
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.5
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FK Sarajevo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Radnik Bijeljina Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (7%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (3%) 1-0 (3%) 1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 36%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
FK Sarajevo Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
May 26 FK Saraje… vs Å iroki Br… 2-2
Apr 28 FK Saraje… vs Vejle 3-0
Apr 24 FK Saraje… vs Zrinjski 4-3
Apr 14 FK Saraje… vs ŽeljezniÄā€¦ 0-0
Mar 03 FK Saraje… vs ŽeljezniÄā€¦ 3-0
Feb 18 FK Saraje… vs Å iroki Br… 1-3
Dec 18 FK Saraje… vs Zrinjski 2-0
Dec 01 FK Saraje… vs Vejle 1-0
Oct 08 FK Saraje… vs ŽeljezniÄā€¦ 3-0
Sep 22 FK Saraje… vs Å iroki Br… 1-0
Radnik Bijeljina Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 24 Radnik Bi… vs Vejle 4-3
Aug 11 Radnik Bi… vs Å iroki Br… 1-1
Sep 27 Radnik Bi… vs Sloga Dob… 0-2
Mar 14 Radnik Bi… vs Zrinjski 2-0
Mar 01 Radnik Bi… vs Zrinjski 1-3
May 29 Radnik Bi… vs Å iroki Br… 3-3
May 16 Radnik Bi… vs ŽeljezniÄā€¦ 1-1
May 06 Radnik Bi… vs FK Saraje… 1-0
Apr 23 Radnik Bi… vs Borac Ban… 1-0
Mar 19 Radnik Bi… vs Zrinjski 4-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Radnik Bijeljina struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 06, 2022 FK Sarajevo 1 - 0 Radnik Bijeljina Premijer Liga
Nov 06, 2021 Radnik Bijeljina 0 - 1 FK Sarajevo Premijer Liga
Aug 15, 2021 FK Sarajevo 2 - 1 Radnik Bijeljina Premijer Liga
May 23, 2021 FK Sarajevo 3 - 0 Radnik Bijeljina Premijer Liga
Dec 02, 2020 FK Sarajevo 2 - 1 Radnik Bijeljina Premijer Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: FK Sarajevo to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FK Sarajevo Power 0
Radnik Bijeljina Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

FK Sarajevo Position

+4

Position Gap

7

Radnik Bijeljina Position

Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 10%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.