AI Match Insights

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Première Division May 15, 2025

Diarra

Home
VS
17:00

Stade Malien Bamako

Away
AI Predictions 46.0% Confidence
Diarra Win
25.0%
Draw
29.0%
Stade Malien Bamako Win
46.0%
Away Win (46% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 73%
Market 50%
Combined: 40% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 0.30 - 2.61
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Diarra Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Stade Malien Bamako Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2 (19%) 0-3 (16%) 0-1 (14%) 1-2 (6%) 0-0 (5%) 1-3 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 24%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Under 2.5 Goals 49%
Diarra Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
May 10 Diarra vs USFAS Bam… 0-0
Apr 19 Diarra vs Réal Bama… 0-1
Mar 27 Diarra vs ASKO 0-0
Mar 18 Diarra vs Binga 0-4
Mar 08 Diarra vs Bakaridjan 0-1
Feb 09 Diarra vs Djoliba AC 0-1
Feb 01 Diarra vs US Bougou… 1-1
Jan 23 Diarra vs Stade Mal… 1-2
Jan 15 Diarra vs USFAS Bam… 0-2
Dec 31 Diarra vs Réal Bama… 3-3
Stade Malien Bamako Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
May 10 Stade Mal… vs US Bougou… 3-0
Apr 27 Stade Mal… vs Djoliba AC 1-3
Mar 27 Stade Mal… vs Afrique F… 1-0
Mar 16 Stade Mal… vs Réal Bama… 0-3
Mar 04 Stade Mal… vs US Bougou… 2-3
Feb 19 Stade Mal… vs ASKO 1-0
Feb 16 Stade Mal… vs Djoliba AC 0-1
Feb 09 Stade Mal… vs Binga 0-4
Feb 05 Stade Mal… vs Afrique F… 0-0
Feb 02 Stade Mal… vs Bakaridjan 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Stade Malien Bamako in strong form (5W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 23, 2025 Stade Malien Bamako 1 - 2 Diarra Première Divis…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Diarra to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Diarra Power 0
Stade Malien Bamako Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Diarra Position

+4

Position Gap

7

Stade Malien Bamako Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.