AI Match Insights
First League Feb 16, 2025
CSKA Sofia
HomeVS
15:30
Arda Kardzhali
AwayAI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
CSKA Sofia Win
Draw
Arda Kardzhali Win
Home Win
(41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
71%
Standings
70%
Market
50%
Combined: 49%
Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 1.58 - 0.85
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.8
Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
CSKA Sofia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Arda Kardzhali Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (14%)
1-1 (12%)
2-0 (11%)
2-1 (9%)
0-0 (9%)
0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
45%
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
CSKA Sofia Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 09 | CSKA Sofia vs Ludogoret… | 2-1 |
| Dec 15 | CSKA Sofia vs Slavia Pr… | 2-3 |
| Dec 03 | CSKA Sofia vs Slavia Pr… | 3-1 |
| Dec 01 | CSKA Sofia vs Ludogoret… | 2-0 |
| Nov 02 | CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv… | 2-2 |
| Oct 29 | CSKA Sofia vs Montana | 1-3 |
| Sep 28 | CSKA Sofia vs Cherno Mo… | 0-0 |
| Sep 22 | CSKA Sofia vs CSKA Sofia | 0-1 |
| Sep 18 | CSKA Sofia vs Ludogoret… | 0-1 |
| Sep 16 | CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv… | 0-3 |
Arda Kardzhali Form 16.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 04 | Arda Kard… vs Ludogoret… | 0-4 |
| Nov 23 | Arda Kard… vs Lokomotiv… | 4-2 |
| Nov 02 | Arda Kard… vs Lokomotiv… | 0-2 |
| Oct 21 | Arda Kard… vs CSKA 1948 | 1-2 |
| Sep 23 | Arda Kard… vs Botev Plo… | 1-0 |
| Sep 15 | Arda Kard… vs Cherno Mo… | 1-1 |
| Aug 24 | Arda Kard… vs CSKA Sofia | 2-1 |
| Aug 03 | Arda Kard… vs Ludogoret… | 5-1 |
| Jul 20 | Arda Kard… vs Lokomotiv… | 1-0 |
| May 27 | Arda Kard… vs Botev Plo… | 0-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- CSKA Sofia in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
- Arda Kardzhali in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2024 | Arda Kardzhali | 2 - 1 | CSKA Sofia | First League |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Arda Kardzhali | 2 - 3 | CSKA Sofia | First League |
| Feb 28, 2024 | CSKA Sofia | 1 - 0 | Arda Kardzhali | Cup |
| Oct 27, 2023 | CSKA Sofia | 0 - 0 | Arda Kardzhali | First League |
| Oct 28, 2022 | Arda Kardzhali | 1 - 3 | CSKA Sofia | First League |
| Jul 10, 2022 | CSKA Sofia | 3 - 0 | Arda Kardzhali | First League |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: CSKA Sofia to win (43% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
CSKA Sofia Power
0
Arda Kardzhali Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
5
CSKA Sofia Position+5
Position Gap10
Arda Kardzhali Position
Home Win Rate: 56%
Away Win Rate: 44%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.