AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
First League Aug 24, 2024

Arda Kardzhali

Home
VS
16:00

CSKA Sofia

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Arda Kardzhali Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
CSKA Sofia Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 1.78 - 0.91
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.9
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Arda Kardzhali Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
CSKA Sofia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 2-0 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 0-0 (7%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Under 2.5 Goals 51%
Arda Kardzhali Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 03 Arda Kard… vs Ludogoret… 5-1
Jul 20 Arda Kard… vs Lokomotiv… 1-0
May 27 Arda Kard… vs Botev Plo… 0-1
May 20 Arda Kard… vs CSKA 1948 0-0
May 11 Arda Kard… vs Botev Plo… 2-1
Apr 29 Arda Kard… vs CSKA 1948 1-1
Apr 21 Arda Kard… vs CSKA Sofia 2-3
Apr 15 Arda Kard… vs Ludogoret… 2-0
Feb 28 Arda Kard… vs CSKA Sofia 1-0
Feb 18 Arda Kard… vs Lokomotiv… 1-2
CSKA Sofia Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 17 CSKA Sofia vs Ludogoret… 1-0
Aug 03 CSKA Sofia vs Slavia Pr… 3-0
May 27 CSKA Sofia vs CSKA 1948 0-2
May 26 CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv… 1-0
May 26 CSKA Sofia vs Ludogoret… 1-0
May 23 CSKA Sofia vs Cherno Mo… 0-1
May 10 CSKA Sofia vs CSKA 1948 0-2
May 01 CSKA Sofia vs Botev Plo… 2-0
Apr 21 CSKA Sofia vs Arda Kard… 2-3
Apr 17 CSKA Sofia vs Botev Plo… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • CSKA Sofia struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 21, 2024 Arda Kardzhali 2 - 3 CSKA Sofia First League
Feb 28, 2024 CSKA Sofia 1 - 0 Arda Kardzhali Cup
Oct 27, 2023 CSKA Sofia 0 - 0 Arda Kardzhali First League
Oct 28, 2022 Arda Kardzhali 1 - 3 CSKA Sofia First League
Jul 10, 2022 CSKA Sofia 3 - 0 Arda Kardzhali First League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Arda Kardzhali Power 0
CSKA Sofia Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Arda Kardzhali Position

-5

Position Gap

5

CSKA Sofia Position
Home Win Rate: 20%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.