AI Match Insights

First League Apr 21, 2024

Arda Kardzhali

Home
VS
17:15

CSKA Sofia

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Arda Kardzhali Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
CSKA Sofia Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 40%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 36% Draw Risk: 48%
xG: 0.55 - 1.27
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Arda Kardzhali Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
58%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
CSKA Sofia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (21%) 0-0 (16%) 0-2 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 1-0 (9%) 1-2 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Under 2.5 Goals 73%
Arda Kardzhali Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 15 Arda Kard… vs Ludogoret… 2-0
Feb 28 Arda Kard… vs CSKA Sofia 1-0
Feb 18 Arda Kard… vs Lokomotiv… 1-2
Jan 24 Arda Kard… vs CSKA 1948 1-0
Dec 14 Arda Kard… vs CSKA 1948 1-0
Dec 09 Arda Kard… vs Lokomotiv… 0-1
Dec 01 Arda Kard… vs Botev Plo… 0-2
Nov 27 Arda Kard… vs CSKA 1948 0-3
Nov 07 Arda Kard… vs Cherno Mo… 1-0
Oct 27 Arda Kard… vs CSKA Sofia 0-0
CSKA Sofia Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 17 CSKA Sofia vs Botev Plo… 0-1
Apr 03 CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv… 1-2
Apr 03 CSKA Sofia vs Ludogoret… 5-1
Mar 30 CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv… 0-1
Mar 29 CSKA Sofia vs CSKA Sofia 2-0
Mar 17 CSKA Sofia vs Botev Plo… 4-0
Feb 28 CSKA Sofia vs Arda Kard… 1-0
Feb 25 CSKA Sofia vs CSKA 1948 1-1
Feb 24 CSKA Sofia vs Cherno Mo… 1-0
Jan 20 CSKA Sofia vs Korona Ki… 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Arda Kardzhali struggling (5L in last 5) Home
  • CSKA Sofia struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 28, 2024 CSKA Sofia 1 - 0 Arda Kardzhali Cup
Oct 27, 2023 CSKA Sofia 0 - 0 Arda Kardzhali First League
Oct 28, 2022 Arda Kardzhali 1 - 3 CSKA Sofia First League
Jul 10, 2022 CSKA Sofia 3 - 0 Arda Kardzhali First League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Arda Kardzhali Power 0
CSKA Sofia Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Arda Kardzhali Position

-5

Position Gap

5

CSKA Sofia Position

Home Win Rate: 20%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.