AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
First League Oct 27, 2023

CSKA Sofia

Home
VS
13:30

Arda Kardzhali

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
CSKA Sofia Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Arda Kardzhali Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 38%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 40% Draw Risk: 48%
xG: 0.41 - 1.25
Key Insights
Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
CSKA Sofia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Arda Kardzhali Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
29%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (24%) 0-0 (19%) 0-2 (15%) 1-1 (10%) 1-0 (8%) 0-3 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 24%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Under 2.5 Goals 77%
CSKA Sofia Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 02 CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv… 0-2
Oct 01 CSKA Sofia vs Ludogoret… 0-1
Sep 28 CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv… 2-0
Sep 27 CSKA Sofia vs CSKA Sofia 0-2
Sep 22 CSKA Sofia vs Botev Plo… 1-2
Aug 28 CSKA Sofia vs CSKA 1948 0-2
Aug 26 CSKA Sofia vs Cherno Mo… 1-1
Jun 03 CSKA Sofia vs Ludogoret… 3-2
May 27 CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv… 1-0
May 15 CSKA Sofia vs Cherno Mo… 2-0
Arda Kardzhali Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 08 Arda Kard… vs Lokomotiv… 2-1
Aug 18 Arda Kard… vs Lokomotiv… 1-0
Aug 11 Arda Kard… vs Lokomotiv… 1-0
Aug 04 Arda Kard… vs Botev Plo… 0-2
Jul 15 Arda Kard… vs Cherno Mo… 3-3
Jul 01 Arda Kard… vs Lokomotiv… 2-4
Jun 06 Arda Kard… vs Botev Plo… 0-3
May 29 Arda Kard… vs Lokomotiv… 1-3
May 23 Arda Kard… vs Botev Plo… 2-1
May 14 Arda Kard… vs Lokomotiv… 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • CSKA Sofia in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Arda Kardzhali in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 28, 2022 Arda Kardzhali 1 - 3 CSKA Sofia First League
Jul 10, 2022 CSKA Sofia 3 - 0 Arda Kardzhali First League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: CSKA Sofia to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
CSKA Sofia Power 0
Arda Kardzhali Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

CSKA Sofia Position

+5

Position Gap

10

Arda Kardzhali Position
Home Win Rate: 56%
Away Win Rate: 44%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.