AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
First League Oct 28, 2022

Arda Kardzhali

Home
VS
15:30

CSKA Sofia

Away
AI Predictions 42.3% Confidence
Arda Kardzhali Win
29.7%
Draw
28.1%
CSKA Sofia Win
42.3%
Away Win (42% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 1.90 - 1.17
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 1.2
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Arda Kardzhali Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
CSKA Sofia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (9%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 1-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Arda Kardzhali Form 6.7%
Date Match Result
Oct 21 Arda Kard… vs Lokomotiv… 2-2
Oct 14 Arda Kard… vs Cherno Mo… 1-1
Jul 10 Arda Kard… vs CSKA Sofia 3-0
CSKA Sofia Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 22 CSKA Sofia vs CSKA 1948 1-1
Oct 12 CSKA Sofia vs CSKA Sofia 2-1
Sep 03 CSKA Sofia vs Slavia Pr… 0-1
Jul 16 CSKA Sofia vs Slavia Pr… 5-0
Jul 16 CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv… 1-1
Jul 10 CSKA Sofia vs Arda Kard… 3-0
May 19 CSKA Sofia vs CSKA Sofia 1-2
Apr 17 CSKA Sofia vs Ludogoret… 4-1
Apr 08 CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv… 2-0
Feb 26 CSKA Sofia vs Ludogoret… 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • CSKA Sofia in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 10, 2022 CSKA Sofia 3 - 0 Arda Kardzhali First League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Arda Kardzhali Power 0
CSKA Sofia Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Arda Kardzhali Position

-5

Position Gap

5

CSKA Sofia Position
Home Win Rate: 20%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.