AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
First League Jul 10, 2022

CSKA Sofia

Home
VS
18:00

Arda Kardzhali

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
CSKA Sofia Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Arda Kardzhali Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 50%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 1.15 - 1.12
Key Insights
Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
CSKA Sofia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Arda Kardzhali Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (13%) 1-0 (12%) 0-1 (12%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (8%) 1-2 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Under 2.5 Goals 61%
CSKA Sofia Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
May 19 CSKA Sofia vs CSKA Sofia 1-2
Apr 17 CSKA Sofia vs Ludogoret… 4-1
Apr 08 CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv… 2-0
Feb 26 CSKA Sofia vs Ludogoret… 3-1
Feb 13 CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv… 1-1
Dec 02 CSKA Sofia vs Lokomotiv… 2-0
Nov 06 CSKA Sofia vs CSKA Sofia 0-1
Arda Kardzhali Form 50%

No recent form data available

Key Analysis Factors
  • CSKA Sofia struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: CSKA Sofia to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
CSKA Sofia Power 0
Arda Kardzhali Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

CSKA Sofia Position

+5

Position Gap

10

Arda Kardzhali Position
Home Win Rate: 56%
Away Win Rate: 44%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.