AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie C Aug 07, 2024

Ypiranga-RS

Home
VS
22:00

Caxias

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Ypiranga-RS Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Caxias Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 90%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 2.56 - 0.82
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 0.8
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Ypiranga-RS Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Caxias Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
44%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (11%) 3-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 1-0 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Ypiranga-RS Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 13 Ypiranga-… vs Athletico… 3-0
Jun 23 Ypiranga-… vs São José 0-1
Feb 17 Ypiranga-… vs São Luiz 0-0
Feb 10 Ypiranga-… vs Avenida 2-0
Feb 07 Ypiranga-… vs São José 1-1
Feb 04 Ypiranga-… vs Juventude 3-0
Jan 27 Ypiranga-… vs Internaci… 3-0
Jan 24 Ypiranga-… vs Caxias 2-2
Jan 21 Ypiranga-… vs Guaraní d… 1-2
Jun 11 Ypiranga-… vs São José 1-0
Caxias Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 28 Caxias vs São José 1-0
Mar 08 Caxias vs São José 1-0
Feb 24 Caxias vs Avenida 2-0
Feb 19 Caxias vs Juventude 1-1
Feb 15 Caxias vs São José 1-2
Feb 08 Caxias vs Guaraní d… 1-1
Feb 03 Caxias vs Internaci… 2-0
Jan 27 Caxias vs São Luiz 2-2
Jan 24 Caxias vs Ypiranga-… 2-2
Mar 26 Caxias vs Internaci… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Caxias in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 24, 2024 Ypiranga-RS 2 - 2 Caxias Gaúcho - 1
Mar 04, 2023 Caxias 3 - 0 Ypiranga-RS Gaúcho - 1
Mar 05, 2022 Ypiranga-RS 2 - 0 Caxias Gaúcho - 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Ypiranga-RS to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ypiranga-RS Power 0
Caxias Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.