AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Gaúcho - 1 Jan 24, 2024

Ypiranga-RS

Home
VS
22:00

Caxias

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Ypiranga-RS Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Caxias Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 2.78 - 0.55
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 0.6
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Ypiranga-RS Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Caxias Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
58%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (14%) 3-0 (13%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 40%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Ypiranga-RS Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 21 Ypiranga-… vs Guaraní d… 1-2
Jun 11 Ypiranga-… vs São José 1-0
Mar 04 Ypiranga-… vs Caxias 3-0
Feb 09 Ypiranga-… vs São José 3-1
Feb 05 Ypiranga-… vs Juventude 3-2
Feb 02 Ypiranga-… vs Internaci… 3-0
Jan 29 Ypiranga-… vs Avenida 1-0
Jan 20 Ypiranga-… vs São Luiz 1-1
Jul 03 Ypiranga-… vs São José 2-2
Mar 05 Ypiranga-… vs Caxias 2-0
Caxias Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 26 Caxias vs Internaci… 1-1
Mar 18 Caxias vs Internaci… 1-1
Mar 11 Caxias vs Avenida 0-1
Mar 04 Caxias vs Ypiranga-… 3-0
Feb 27 Caxias vs Juventude 2-2
Feb 12 Caxias vs São Luiz 3-1
Feb 09 Caxias vs Internaci… 2-2
Jan 25 Caxias vs São José 1-1
Mar 05 Caxias vs Ypiranga-… 2-0
Feb 26 Caxias vs Juventude 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Ypiranga-RS in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 04, 2023 Caxias 3 - 0 Ypiranga-RS Gaúcho - 1
Mar 05, 2022 Ypiranga-RS 2 - 0 Caxias Gaúcho - 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Ypiranga-RS to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ypiranga-RS Power 0
Caxias Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Ypiranga-RS Position

-1

Position Gap

2

Caxias Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.