AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Gaúcho - 1 Mar 04, 2023

Caxias

Home
VS
19:30

Ypiranga-RS

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Caxias Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Ypiranga-RS Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 1.90 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.2
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Caxias Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Ypiranga-RS Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (23%) 2-0 (22%) 3-0 (14%) 0-0 (12%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Under 2.5 Goals 66%
Caxias Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 27 Caxias vs Juventude 2-2
Feb 12 Caxias vs São Luiz 3-1
Feb 09 Caxias vs Internaci… 2-2
Jan 25 Caxias vs São José 1-1
Mar 05 Caxias vs Ypiranga-… 2-0
Feb 26 Caxias vs Juventude 0-0
Feb 16 Caxias vs São Luiz 1-0
Feb 12 Caxias vs Internaci… 0-1
Feb 10 Caxias vs Guaraní d… 1-1
Jan 30 Caxias vs São José 1-1
Ypiranga-RS Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 09 Ypiranga-… vs São José 3-1
Feb 05 Ypiranga-… vs Juventude 3-2
Feb 02 Ypiranga-… vs Internaci… 3-0
Jan 29 Ypiranga-… vs Avenida 1-0
Jan 20 Ypiranga-… vs São Luiz 1-1
Jul 03 Ypiranga-… vs São José 2-2
Mar 05 Ypiranga-… vs Caxias 2-0
Feb 27 Ypiranga-… vs Guaraní d… 3-1
Feb 13 Ypiranga-… vs São José 0-0
Feb 10 Ypiranga-… vs Juventude 0-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 05, 2022 Ypiranga-RS 2 - 0 Caxias Gaúcho - 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Caxias to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Caxias Power 0
Ypiranga-RS Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Caxias Position

+1

Position Gap

3

Ypiranga-RS Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.