AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
OFC Champions League Feb 06, 2026

Pago

Home
VS
03:00

Tupapa Maraerenga

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Pago Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Tupapa Maraerenga Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 1.67 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.2
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Pago Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Tupapa Maraerenga Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (26%) 2-0 (21%) 0-0 (15%) 3-0 (12%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Under 2.5 Goals 72%
Pago Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Pago vs Nukuhetulu 2-2
Jan 30 Pago vs Vaivase-T… 1-1
Tupapa Maraerenga Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Tupapa Ma… vs Vaivase-T… 1-1
Jan 31 Tupapa Ma… vs Nukuhetulu 3-0
Apr 06 Tupapa Ma… vs Hekari Un… 0-9
Apr 03 Tupapa Ma… vs Central C… 7-0
Mar 31 Tupapa Ma… vs Ifira Bla… 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Tupapa Maraerenga struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Pago to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Pago Power 0
Tupapa Maraerenga Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.