AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FAW Championship Jan 17, 2025

Caerau (Ely)

Home
VS
19:30

Ammanford AFC

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Caerau (Ely) Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Ammanford AFC Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 24%
xG: 2.74 - 0.53
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.7 vs 0.5
Score Prediction Analysis
Caerau (Ely) Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Ammanford AFC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
59%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (14%) 3-0 (13%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Caerau (Ely) Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 20 Caerau (E… vs Newport C… 3-1
Dec 14 Caerau (E… vs Bala Town 1-0
Nov 12 Caerau (E… vs Trefelin 2-0
Nov 08 Caerau (E… vs Ammanford… 0-2
Oct 25 Caerau (E… vs Cambrian … 2-2
Oct 19 Caerau (E… vs Bala Town 3-3
Aug 26 Caerau (E… vs Trethomas… 2-2
Aug 16 Caerau (E… vs Newport C… 1-2
Aug 06 Caerau (E… vs Caernarfo… 2-2
Aug 02 Caerau (E… vs Goytre Un… 3-2
Ammanford AFC Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 11 Ammanford… vs Cambrian … 1-0
Jan 04 Ammanford… vs Afan Lido 5-1
Jan 01 Ammanford… vs Caernarfo… 3-0
Nov 22 Ammanford… vs Trefelin 0-1
Nov 16 Ammanford… vs Haverford… 1-1
Nov 08 Ammanford… vs Caerau (E… 0-2
Nov 01 Ammanford… vs Pontyprid… 3-0
Oct 19 Ammanford… vs Aberystwy… 0-1
Oct 04 Ammanford… vs Cambrian … 3-2
Aug 23 Ammanford… vs Caernarfo… 2-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Caerau (Ely) in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Ammanford AFC in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 08, 2024 Ammanford AFC 0 - 2 Caerau (Ely) FAW Championsh…
Mar 29, 2024 Ammanford AFC 1 - 1 Caerau (Ely) FAW Championsh…
Aug 12, 2023 Caerau (Ely) 1 - 2 Ammanford AFC FAW Championsh…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Caerau (Ely) to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Caerau (Ely) Power 0
Ammanford AFC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.