AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FAW Championship Nov 08, 2024

Ammanford AFC

Home
VS
19:30

Caerau (Ely)

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Ammanford AFC Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Caerau (Ely) Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 92%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 4.50 - 2.63
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 2.6
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Ammanford AFC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Caerau (Ely) Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-2 (4%) 3-3 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-2 (3%) 2-3 (2%) 2-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Ammanford AFC Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 01 Ammanford… vs Pontyprid… 3-0
Oct 19 Ammanford… vs Aberystwy… 0-1
Oct 04 Ammanford… vs Cambrian … 3-2
Aug 23 Ammanford… vs Caernarfo… 2-3
Aug 18 Ammanford… vs Baglan Dr… 0-2
Aug 03 Ammanford… vs Hertford … 2-0
Apr 20 Ammanford… vs Taffs Well 1-3
Apr 09 Ammanford… vs Briton Fe… 4-0
Mar 29 Ammanford… vs Caerau (E… 1-1
Mar 15 Ammanford… vs Afan Lido 2-4
Caerau (Ely) Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 25 Caerau (E… vs Cambrian … 2-2
Oct 19 Caerau (E… vs Bala Town 3-3
Aug 26 Caerau (E… vs Trethomas… 2-2
Aug 16 Caerau (E… vs Newport C… 1-2
Aug 06 Caerau (E… vs Caernarfo… 2-2
Aug 02 Caerau (E… vs Goytre Un… 3-2
Jul 26 Caerau (E… vs Trefelin 1-0
Jul 20 Caerau (E… vs Trefelin 2-1
Apr 13 Caerau (E… vs Pontyprid… 3-1
Apr 09 Caerau (E… vs Goytre Un… 6-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Ammanford AFC struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 29, 2024 Ammanford AFC 1 - 1 Caerau (Ely) FAW Championsh…
Aug 12, 2023 Caerau (Ely) 1 - 2 Ammanford AFC FAW Championsh…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Ammanford AFC to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ammanford AFC Power 0
Caerau (Ely) Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.