AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FAW Championship Mar 29, 2024

Ammanford AFC

Home
VS
14:30

Caerau (Ely)

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Ammanford AFC Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Caerau (Ely) Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 23%
xG: 3.80 - 1.46
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.8 vs 1.5
Score Prediction Analysis
Ammanford AFC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Caerau (Ely) Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (7%) 2-1 (5%) 3-2 (5%) 3-0 (5%) 2-2 (4%) 2-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Under 2.5 Goals 29%
Ammanford AFC Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 15 Ammanford… vs Afan Lido 2-4
Mar 02 Ammanford… vs Cambrian … 0-0
Feb 27 Ammanford… vs Trefelin 1-2
Feb 17 Ammanford… vs Baglan Dr… 1-3
Jan 20 Ammanford… vs Caernarfo… 0-1
Dec 15 Ammanford… vs Trefelin 1-1
Dec 08 Ammanford… vs Baglan Dr… 2-2
Oct 13 Ammanford… vs Trefelin 2-2
Oct 06 Ammanford… vs Caernarfo… 2-2
Sep 09 Ammanford… vs Cambrian … 3-1
Caerau (Ely) Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 16 Caerau (E… vs Cambrian … 2-2
Feb 10 Caerau (E… vs Caernarfo… 1-1
Jan 05 Caerau (E… vs Trefelin 3-1
Dec 09 Caerau (E… vs Bala Town 1-4
Nov 17 Caerau (E… vs Trefelin 2-0
Sep 22 Caerau (E… vs Caernarfo… 2-4
Aug 12 Caerau (E… vs Ammanford… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Ammanford AFC in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 12, 2023 Caerau (Ely) 1 - 2 Ammanford AFC FAW Championsh…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Ammanford AFC to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ammanford AFC Power 0
Caerau (Ely) Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.