AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FAW Championship Aug 12, 2023

Caerau (Ely)

Home
VS
13:30

Ammanford AFC

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Caerau (Ely) Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Ammanford AFC Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 1.94 - 1.08
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 1.1
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Caerau (Ely) Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Ammanford AFC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
34%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (9%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (6%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 57%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Caerau (Ely) Form 50%

No recent form data available

Ammanford AFC Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 05 Ammanford… vs Trefelin 2-2
Apr 04 Ammanford… vs Cambrian … 1-1
Feb 25 Ammanford… vs Ynyshir A… 1-0
Feb 17 Ammanford… vs Trefelin 1-1
Jan 02 Ammanford… vs Caernarfo… 2-2
Dec 27 Ammanford… vs Caernarfo… 0-4
Nov 18 Ammanford… vs Trefelin 4-2
Aug 26 Ammanford… vs Cambrian … 3-1
Aug 02 Ammanford… vs Ynyshir A… 2-2
Apr 18 Ammanford… vs Caernarfo… 4-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Caerau (Ely) to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Caerau (Ely) Power 0
Ammanford AFC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.