AI Match Insights

Liga Portugal 2 Nov 24, 2024

Vizela

Home
VS
11:00

Oliveirense

Away
AI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
Vizela Win
61.0%
Draw
21.8%
Oliveirense Win
17.2%
Home Win (61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 95%
Standings 73%
Market 50%
Combined: 65% Draw Risk: 21%
xG: 3.16 - 1.11
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 1.1 Position gap: 9 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Vizela Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Oliveirense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 3-0 (7%) 2-0 (7%) 1-1 (5%) 3-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Under 2.5 Goals 30%
Vizela Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 02 Vizela vs Portimone… 1-1
Oct 25 Vizela vs Pacos Fer… 1-1
Aug 31 Vizela vs Moreirense 1-2
Aug 11 Vizela vs União de … 0-2
Jul 27 Vizela vs Pacos Fer… 2-0
May 18 Vizela vs Boavista 2-2
May 18 Vizela vs Boavista 2-2
May 11 Vizela vs Estrela d… 4-0
May 11 Vizela vs Estrela d… 4-0
May 03 Vizela vs Moreirense 1-0
Oliveirense Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Oliveiren… vs Vizela 0-3
Sep 12 Oliveiren… vs Vizela 2-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 30, 2021 Oliveirense 0 - 3 Vizela Liga Portugal 2
Sep 12, 2020 Vizela 2 - 1 Oliveirense Liga Portugal 2
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Vizela to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 94
Vizela Power 0
Oliveirense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Vizela Position

+9

Position Gap

14

Oliveirense Position

Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 10%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.